Scenario Modeling
Define Bear / Base / Bull scenarios with probability weights and variable overrides. All charts and outputs update live.
Scenario Probabilities
∑ = 100%
Scenario Variable Overrides
ℹ Set per-scenario values for each driver. Leave blank to use the base variable value.
Scenario Comparison Chart
Scenario Bridge: Bear to Bull
Variable Registry
Assign each variable a Model Role: five driver slots (Volume, Price, Margin, Multiple, Net Debt) compute the outputs; Context variables document assumptions and feed the Spider view only. Weight and Impact are qualitative tags.
(0/20 variables)
| Variable | Role | Category | Base | Bear | Bull | Unit | Output Impact Weight | Impact Level | Actions |
|---|
Tornado Chart: Sensitivity Ranking
Variables ranked by total output swing (Bull minus Bear). Widest bars = highest leverage on your target metric.
Output Swing by Variable
Spider / Radar Chart: Multi-Scenario Profile
Visualizes relative deviation of each scenario vs. base across all key variables. Tight polygon = scenarios are close; wide spread = high dispersion.
Radar: Scenario vs. Base
Deviation Heat Map
Two-Variable Sensitivity Table
Select two drivers to see how their interaction affects the primary output. Green = upside; Red = downside; Blue = base case intersection.
Probability-Weighted Value
Expected value calculation across all scenarios, weighted by their assigned probabilities. Includes confidence interval and variance analysis.
Probability-Weighted Distribution
Variable Contribution to Expected Value